You are browsing the Hong Kong website, Regulated by Hong Kong SFC (CE number: BJA907). Investment is risky and you must be cautious when entering the market.
期权大单 | 特斯拉遭“抛弃”,VIX看涨期权需求高涨
uSMART盈立智投 05-15 16:29

市场概览

上周五,对美国经济陷入衰退的担忧打击了投资者信心,三大指数集体收跌。当日美股期权市场总成交量39,081,778张合约,其中,看涨期权占比55%,看跌期权占比45%。

期权成交总量TOP10​​

特斯拉占据榜单的第二位。消息面上,近日,“金融巨鳄”索罗斯旗下的基金管理公司(Soros Fund Management)向SEC提交了一季度的13F文件。文件显示,索罗斯基金一季度大举减持新能源汽车股,直接清仓抛售了1600万美元的$特斯拉(TSLA)$股份,同时还清仓了蔚来和$通用汽车(GM)$,卖出了Rivian股票和看涨期权。

另一个关于特斯拉的焦点话题是“史上最大规模召回事件”。近日,国家市场监督管理总局宣布,日前在其启动缺陷调查情况下,特斯拉开启召回计划,合计约110.46万辆。这是特斯拉在全球销售汽车以来最大的一次召回。特斯拉罕见“认错”表示,将会整改,为召回范围内的车辆推送新开发的功能。

特斯拉的股价自4月末开启了一波小幅反弹,不过目前似乎遇到瓶颈,周五跌超2%。如今遭遇大佬清仓,对市场情绪会带来多大影响,值得密切关注。

华尔街看到“大风暴苗头” VIX看涨期权需求高涨

近期,美国两党在债务上限问题上的互不相让令该国面临债务违约风险。而在华尔街,交易员们已经开始为这起黑天鹅事件厉兵秣马。

在期权市场,对冲波动率大幅上升风险的需求达到五年来最高水平。对冲市场下跌约10%或一个标准差的成本创一年来最高。尾部风险对冲需求急剧升至3月银行业动荡高峰期以来之最。

与此同时,市场表面却相当平静,Cboe波动率指数VIX低于一年平均水平,但是资深业内人士警告,这可能只是暴风雨来临前的平静,就像在2011年那样,在美国逼近违约边缘之前,很少有人注意到资金危机。

“防止市场低迷以及尾部风险的需求已经上升,”RBC Capital Markets的衍生品策略主管Amy Wu Silverman说。“想想VIX在2011年美国触及债务上限前的表现,其实和今天的情况很像。我们会看到做多VIX的需求高涨,因为以前就发生过这种事。”

美国财政部长耶伦此前敦促白宫与国会领导人尽快化解分歧,因为到6月1日资金就可能用尽。

对冲波动率上升风险的需求高涨表明6月可能又是一个动荡期。VIX指数的看涨期权未平仓合约最近达到2018年以来的最高水平。从经济衰退到银行体系裂痕,再到转向更宽松货币政策的期望落空,一系列其他风险正在令市场承压。

“还有其他因素,例如糟糕的通胀数据,强劲的就业市场等,”Fulcrum Asset Management的合伙人Stephen Crewe表示。 “人们真的不明白为什么有这么多坏消息在,股市却还能涨,所以他们一直在买入保护性期权。”

Follow us
Find us on Facebook, Twitter , Instagram, and YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!
Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.
uSMART
Wealth Growth Made Easy
Open Account