Q3比亚迪单车利润将破万元,增收也增利时代来临
比亚迪Q3利润预计55-59亿元,超2022上半年及2021全年水平。
来源:见智研究
10月17日晚上,国内新能源汽车龙头公司比亚迪公布了自己的今年三季度的业绩预告,预计今年前三季度比亚迪的净利润达到91亿元-95亿元,同比增长272.48%-288.85%。
其中比亚迪的第三季度单季度的净利润预计达到55.05亿元-59.05亿元,同比增长333.60%-365.11%,环比增长97.5%-111.87%,但从整体利润水平来看,比亚迪三季度的利润已经超过其整个2022年上半年的利润水平(35.95亿元)和整个2021年全年的利润水平(30.45亿元),可以说是超过了市场的预期。
华尔街见闻·见智研究认为,此前的增收不增利的旧状对于比亚迪而言已经彻彻底底成为了过去式,如今将要迎来的是比亚迪单车净利润破万,月销量过20万辆大关的量利齐升的现状。
其中新能源汽车的销量方面,今年前三个季度比亚迪的的整车产量高达119.6万辆,同比增长159.21%,销量高达118.5万辆,同比增长161.76%,仅仅前三个季度的汽车销量总和就距离比亚迪年初定下的全年目标150万辆已经相差不远,而且按照目前的销量进度,有望提前在就在今年11月就完成目标,销量增长速度也从去年的环比月增1万辆提升至如今的2-3万辆。
而在单车利润方面,比亚迪的第三季度单季的整车产量高达54.3万辆,同比增长162.3%,环比则增长50.4%;销量高达53.9万辆,同比增长162.9%,环比则增长51.8%。虽然比亚迪三季度不会公布旗下具体业务的利润分配情况,但是目前来看比亚迪的利润来源主要还是来自于汽车,乐观预计比亚迪电子的三季度利润为3亿元-4亿元左右,所以比亚迪的汽车业务利润在51亿元-56亿元,所以总体预估比亚迪的单车利润在0.94万元-1.04万元左右,有望在今年三季度突破单车利润万元大关。
值得一提的是,比亚迪在今年三季度迅猛的新能源汽车销量,及单车利润的提升或许还只是刚刚开始,比亚迪在今年三季度尤其是7月份开始,就开始陆陆续续发布一系列进军海外新能源汽车市场如日本、泰国、德国、挪威、法国等等国家的消息。
比亚迪有望在国内的新能源汽车市场成功拿下较大市场份额并保持销量增速的同时,在海外的新能源汽车市场中也打开新的局面,爆发新的增长点(有关比亚迪的海外新能源汽车市场布局内容,华尔街见闻·见智研究将会在比亚迪的三季报具体公布后来进一步做详细解读)。
此外,比亚迪除了在新能源汽车领域呈现销量高速增长的态势以外,在动力电池和储能电池行业也有较大幅度的提升,比亚迪今年前三个季度累计装机总量约为 57.493GWh左右(包括动力电池和储能电池),而在今年前三季度来看,比亚迪的国内的动力电池装机量占比基本上站稳了20%左右的市占率水平(去年同期占比为16%);
而从全球来看,今年1-8月比亚迪则与排名第二的韩国锂电企业龙头LG新能源相差不大,占比差距已经缩小至1个百分点(去年同期差距高达14.5个百分点),今年就有望在全年的装机量水平上正式反超LG新能源。
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